Augsburg vs Borussia M’Gladbach

Bundesliga | 9 May 2026 | WWK Arena

Match Preview

This is a more balanced match than Wolfsburg vs Bayern, but Augsburg have the better current profile. Sofascore lists Augsburg 9th and Borussia M’Gladbach 11th, while Sportsgambler’s table snapshot shows Augsburg on 40 points and Gladbach on 35 points after 32 matches.

Augsburg are favourites at 2.07, with the draw at 3.70 and Gladbach at 3.25. The market also leans towards goals: Over 2.5 is 1.60 and BTTS Yes is 1.50.

The tactical picture is interesting. Augsburg have improved under Manuel Baum and come into the match after a 3-1 away win at Werder Bremen, while Gladbach beat Dortmund 1-0 in their previous match. Sportsgambler also notes that the previous H2H this season was a 4-0 Gladbach win, but in the last 10 H2Hs Augsburg still lead with six wins, compared to three Gladbach wins and one draw.

There is some disagreement in the market. Forebet expects a lower-scoring 1-1 draw, noting that Augsburg’s last 10 Bundesliga home matches have seen Under 2.5 in six cases and Gladbach’s last three matches have all been Under 2.5.

I slightly prefer the market’s attacking read because both teams concede chances and the price on BTTS is stronger than forcing a clean home win.

Prediction Table

Market	Pick	Odds	Confidence
1X2	Augsburg to Win	2.07	6.5/10
O/U 2.5 Goals	Over 2.5 Goals	1.60	6.5/10
BTTS	Yes	1.50	7/10
Corners	Over 9.5 Total Corners	1.68	7/10
Asian Handicap	Augsburg -0.25 AH	1.82	6.5/10
HT/FT	Draw / Augsburg	~5.00	5/10
Correct Score	Augsburg 2-1 Borussia M’Gladbach	8.00	5/10

Market Analysis

1X2 – Augsburg to Win @ 2.07
Augsburg have home advantage, better league position and better recent momentum. The price is not short, which makes it more interesting as a value play. Wincomparator also gives Augsburg the highest win probability, around 48%, with Gladbach much lower at around 14–15%.

O/U 2.5 – Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60
The market expects goals, and both teams have enough defensive vulnerability to support that. However, because Forebet leans Under/1-1, I would not rate Over 2.5 as the safest single. It is better paired with BTTS.

BTTS – Yes @ 1.50
This is my favourite goals-related angle. Augsburg are strong enough to score at home, while Gladbach still have attacking pieces such as Haris Tabakovic, who is listed as the first-goalscorer favourite.

Corners – Over 9.5 Total Corners @ 1.68
This is a strong corners market. Sportsgambler reports an average of 12.30 corners in Augsburg’s last 10 league games and gives Over 9.5 corners at 1.68.

Asian Handicap – Augsburg -0.25 AH @ 1.82
This is better than straight Augsburg win if you want some partial protection. If Augsburg draw, half the stake is lost and half is refunded; if they win, the bet wins fully. This is a good compromise because the draw is a realistic result.

Correct Score – Augsburg 2-1 Gladbach @ 8.00
Sportsgambler lists the 2-1 correct score at 8.00 and also uses it as their score prediction. It aligns with Augsburg win, Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes.

Best Bet

BTTS – Yes @ 1.50

Final Score Prediction

Augsburg 2-1 Borussia M’Gladbach